Thursday, February 27, 2014

PM2.5 Forecast for Beijing – Friday, February 28, 2014

We're back to poor air quality on Friday, although it looks as if it will not be as bad as we have experienced recently.  We should see increasing pollution overnight, then stabilizing or slightly decreasing pollution in the morning hours.  We could drop back down into Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups, but that is probably a long shot.  Then in the late afternoon and evening, we should see the pollution levels increase again, possibly bringing us up into Very Unhealthy before midnight. 


SATURDAY, March 1:  The weather forecasts we use are not in agreement about Saturday's weather conditions.  It's safe to say that we will not see Good/Moderate air on Saturday, but there is some chance that the AQI will stay down at Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups or the lower part of the Unhealthy range in the morning.  It is probably more likely that we will stay at Unhealthy for the morning, with a chance at moving up into Very Unhealthy in the evening.

SUNDAY, March 2:  Pollution levels should tick back up again on Sunday morning, leaving us with Unhealthy or worse AQIs throughout the day.  There could be a slight clearing on Sunday afternoon, but there is not evidence to support a strong call on that at this point. 

MONDAY, March 3:  More poor air quality is coming on Monday.  We should certainly be no better than Unhealthy, and there is a good chance that we will be at Very Unhealthy or worse for the entire day. 

UPDATE – Our prediction with overlay of actual readings:


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